Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.040126 0.043350 0.046737 0.050566 0.054780 0.059285 0.064473
2025-05-04 0.034846 0.039375 0.044399 0.050406 0.057423 0.065397 0.075193
2025-05-11 0.031299 0.036567 0.042651 0.050244 0.059534 0.070613 0.084951
2025-05-18 0.028604 0.034317 0.041132 0.049940 0.061132 0.075029 0.093826
2025-05-25 0.026562 0.032587 0.039978 0.049818 0.062742 0.079368 0.102759
2025-06-01 0.024606 0.030766 0.038500 0.049065 0.063343 0.082292 0.109900
2025-06-08 0.022852 0.029049 0.036991 0.048090 0.063475 0.084474 0.116060
2025-06-15 0.021513 0.027767 0.035938 0.047600 0.064158 0.087367 0.123361
2025-06-22 0.020349 0.026635 0.034991 0.047154 0.064814 0.090194 0.130714
2025-06-29 0.019148 0.025375 0.033783 0.046236 0.064684 0.091803 0.136264
2025-07-06 0.018541 0.024893 0.033611 0.046765 0.066675 0.096669 0.147284
2025-07-13 0.017831 0.024221 0.033124 0.046784 0.067871 0.100360 0.156680
2025-07-20 0.017332 0.023830 0.033023 0.047380 0.070006 0.105706 0.169393
2025-07-27 0.016625 0.023102 0.032390 0.047121 0.070768 0.108882 0.178663
2025-08-03 0.015996 0.022456 0.031839 0.046947 0.071636 0.112265 0.188580
2025-08-10 0.015385 0.021805 0.031245 0.046661 0.072282 0.115296 0.198105
2025-08-17 0.014862 0.021260 0.030781 0.046548 0.073194 0.118822 0.208863
2025-08-24 0.014233 0.020527 0.029990 0.045854 0.073062 0.120482 0.216150
2025-08-31 0.013598 0.019756 0.029105 0.044955 0.072513 0.121332 0.221885
2025-09-07 0.013104 0.019186 0.028509 0.044503 0.072710 0.123543 0.230564
2025-09-14 0.012649 0.018658 0.027957 0.044092 0.072946 0.125828 0.239595
2025-09-21 0.012128 0.018004 0.027175 0.043245 0.072336 0.126451 0.245125
2025-09-28 0.011914 0.017832 0.027167 0.043733 0.074196 0.131961 0.261848